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climate forecast

Catalogue: GRDC Media
ENSO remains best northern climate indicator.. The El Ni o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon remains recognised as the core driver of climate variability in eastern Australia, according to University of Southern Queensland climate researcher, Professor Roger Stone... "Although there are many climate patterns and systems that exist at widely varying time scales, the ENSO phenomenon remains recognised as the core driver of climate variability in eastern Australia," Prof Stone said...
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Catalogue: GRDC Final Reports
The project has illustrated and quantified the historical variability associated with several climate products that are important to the Australian agriculture sector... The best methods for making the project outputs available are to be finalised, but suggestions include: via Climate Kelpie via something similar to, or an extension of, FutureWise working with Econnect Communication (www.econnect.com.au), or a similar company, to liaise with the Climate Champions program to determine which formats and ways of disseminating the information emerging from this project are most useful working directly with the Climate Champions in a similar way to how the Bureau of Meteorology(BoM) Water and the Land (WATL, www.bom.gov.au/watl) products are evaluated against user preferences via 'CliMate' - David Freebairn's 'Climate Analyser' tool... The project has illustrated and quantified, across Australia and for nine targeted grain growing regions, the climate variability that is already experienced and needs to be taken into account as part of climate risk management...
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Catalogue: GRDC Updates
The El Ni o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains the dominant source of climate variability and seasonal forecasting capability relevant for north-east Australia... The study shows that both sets of forecasts show widespread forecast skill in excess of climatology (ie better than the use of long-term average rainfall or temperature climatological statistics, but that the Bureau's forecasts perform better in the west of the country (Western Australia) and the Queensland SOI-phase forecasts performing better in the centre and east of Australia, including the northern cropping region (Fawcett and Stone, 2010)... Climate forecasts available for the northern cropping region, such as those based on or similar to the 'SOI-phase system', have been demonstrated to provide significant and relatively high skill when verification tests have been applied to assess all those forecasts in real-time over the past 10 years...
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Catalogue: GRDC Media
CropMate proves the grain growers' friend.. A Grains Research and Development Corporation (GRDC)-funded online decision support tool - CropMate - is helping grain growers make sense of weather and climate information... "The CropMate tool is an example of how innovative research can be used to support grain grower decision making by incorporating research data, particularly around fertiliser use, variety performance, water use efficiency and sowing time, agronomic knowledge and climate information into the decision support tool," Professor Herridge said...
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Catalogue: GRDC Final Reports
The forecast is providing a real hedge against climate change if the number of good years declines... The break-even time for using a POAMA forecast was calculated... The value of having a frost forecast for wheat in south-west WA was investigated at three locations with rainfall ranging from medium to high...
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