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Seasonal Forecasting 2012 Outlook David Stephens, DAFWA Verification of Models forecast vs actual performance Fiona E...

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Forecasts made at this time of year have varying degrees of skill and we advise users to consult the seasonal forecasts as they are updated monthly and the skill improves closer to the season... Verification of the 2011 SSF forecasts In terms of the 2011 seasonal forecasts the SSF gave a drier outlook to that which generally eventuated early in the season, but successfully forecast a wetter outlook for spring which assisted farmers with fertiliser decisions mid-year... AIMS The aim of this paper is to review the main climate indicators in 2011, and what is shaping in 2012...
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